Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000196 0.000217 0.000239 0.000265 0.000294 0.000326 0.000362
2025-10-05 0.000159 0.000190 0.000225 0.000270 0.000325 0.000391 0.000476
2025-10-12 0.000137 0.000172 0.000216 0.000275 0.000352 0.000451 0.000590
2025-10-19 0.000119 0.000156 0.000204 0.000273 0.000367 0.000496 0.000688
2025-10-26 0.000107 0.000146 0.000198 0.000275 0.000387 0.000548 0.000801
2025-11-02 0.000096 0.000134 0.000189 0.000272 0.000398 0.000586 0.000897
2025-11-09 0.000087 0.000126 0.000182 0.000271 0.000411 0.000629 0.001007
2025-11-16 0.000079 0.000117 0.000174 0.000266 0.000417 0.000662 0.001103
2025-11-23 0.000072 0.000109 0.000165 0.000259 0.000418 0.000685 0.001185
2025-11-30 0.000068 0.000105 0.000163 0.000263 0.000438 0.000741 0.001333
2025-12-07 0.000065 0.000102 0.000162 0.000269 0.000460 0.000803 0.001503
2025-12-14 0.000060 0.000096 0.000155 0.000263 0.000462 0.000829 0.001604
2025-12-21 0.000054 0.000089 0.000146 0.000254 0.000456 0.000843 0.001689
2025-12-28 0.000052 0.000086 0.000146 0.000259 0.000479 0.000916 0.001911
2026-01-04 0.000049 0.000084 0.000145 0.000263 0.000502 0.000990 0.002152
2026-01-11 0.000046 0.000080 0.000140 0.000261 0.000511 0.001038 0.002339
2026-01-18 0.000044 0.000078 0.000138 0.000263 0.000529 0.001108 0.002594
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000074 0.000134 0.000260 0.000535 0.001151 0.002789
2026-02-01 0.000039 0.000071 0.000131 0.000259 0.000546 0.001208 0.003034
2026-02-08 0.000037 0.000068 0.000127 0.000255 0.000549 0.001246 0.003232
2026-02-15 0.000034 0.000064 0.000121 0.000248 0.000545 0.001266 0.003388
2026-02-22 0.000033 0.000063 0.000121 0.000252 0.000567 0.001354 0.003758
2026-03-01 0.000032 0.000062 0.000121 0.000257 0.000592 0.001455 0.004191